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Socalmountains.com :: Forums :: WEATHER DISCUSSION
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El Nino?

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NJ snow lover
Fri Mar 16 2012, 09:22AM Email Thread Print View

Registered Member #2704
Joined: Mon Jan 09 2012, 03:56PM
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Posts: 30
Please elaborate on the transition into El Nino. Is there a strength prediction? Will it be in effect this Summer?
This is the best news for us surfers and powder hounds!

Thanks in advance.

Carpet Cleaning Orange County
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©ammy
Fri Mar 16 2012, 09:29PM


Joined: Sat Aug 19 2006, 06:01PM
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Benny?
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Benny (N6BWX)
Sat Mar 17 2012, 07:43AM


Joined: Fri Aug 18 2006, 05:54PM
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Posts: 7833
Sorry, been pre-occupied. Yes!

NOW ON TWITTER!
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©ammy
Sat Mar 17 2012, 09:58AM


Joined: Sat Aug 19 2006, 06:01PM
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Posts: 8938
Benny (N6BWX) wrote ...

Sorry, been pre-occupied. Yes!

That wasn't a very elaborative answer!
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Craig (KJ6BCM)
Sat Mar 17 2012, 07:36PM

I LOVE Summer!

Joined: Fri Aug 18 2006, 05:50PM
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If you don't know the answer, always answer YES.

WINTER IS OVER AND SUMMER IS ALMOST HERE!
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NJ snow lover
Sat Mar 17 2012, 09:07PM

Registered Member #2704
Joined: Mon Jan 09 2012, 03:56PM
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Posts: 30
Can you give us details on the El Niño Benny?

Carpet Cleaning Orange County
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NJ snow lover
Mon Mar 19 2012, 06:21PM

Registered Member #2704
Joined: Mon Jan 09 2012, 03:56PM
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Posts: 30
OK,
I did some online studying and found that the El Nino is in effect now and is very strong if it stays the way it is. Should be an EPIC summer waves and water temp wise as hurricanes will be a plenty with warmer then usual water down in Mex and closer to us to allow for big hurricanes and longer travel toward us.
You all know what a strong El Nino means up there! Tons of snow and water for the mountains! 20ft snowfall El Nino seasons are not unheard of! I remember riding consistent 2-4ft dumps in 1998 with 4-8ft dumps as well! I rode a 4ft dump in late May that year at Baldy! Crazy!

Here is a little clip I got out of one of the sites I studied.

However, observations of water temperature in the Pacific Ocean off the South American coast have been warming since December. In fact, according to numbers from the National Climate Data Center, this recent warming has been the second greatest amount of warming in that area since 1979. Climate experts believe that this may signal the end of the dry La Nina and a return to wetter El Nino conditions

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NJ snow lover
Sat Apr 14 2012, 09:34PM

Registered Member #2704
Joined: Mon Jan 09 2012, 03:56PM
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Posts: 30
Benny, how come your not touching this weather question? Not going to hold you to it but, could you just simply tell us what it is looking like? Thanks

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Benny (N6BWX)
Sun Apr 15 2012, 08:23AM


Joined: Fri Aug 18 2006, 05:54PM
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Posts: 7833
La Niña conditions in the tropical Pacific have been at weak to moderate levels since around October 2011. Model forecasts and expert interpretation suggest that the La Niña is near its maximum strength and hence is likely to slowly decline over the coming months. However, beyond May, there is some uncertainty over the expected state of the Pacific Ocean, with no particular preference for El Niño, La Niña or neutral conditions. Over the coming months, National Meteorological and Hydrological Services and other agencies will continue to monitor Pacific Basin conditions to assess the longevity of the current La Niña event and the conditions most likely to follow for the second half of 2012.

So in conclusion, we are really not in for a continued La Nina which we're coming out of, nor an El Nino at this point, by all accounts we are in what would be a called a 'Normal' weather pattern, if there is such a thing; but that could change in a few months, only time will tell!

Will talk more about this with time...

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melmorial
Mon Apr 16 2012, 05:22PM

pole queen
Registered Member #46
Joined: Sat Oct 14 2006, 06:33PM
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the name should be changed to el nono

i am multi lingual, i can speak English, sarcasm and smart arse!

there is always too much month left at the end of my money!
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SocalMan
May 20 : 04:49am
Good morning everyone. Happy Monday and have a great start to the week!

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Around The Lake
May 19 : 08:27pm
gota love the Confidentracts. I remember working a a movie where the whole set had armed gaurds around the 200 ac set to keep it from getting out.

Oso
May 19 : 07:54pm
Theme song from "Tammy"

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Rain
May 19 : 07:33pm
sounds great ! thanks for the info will be on the look out for it

Stuntchik
May 19 : 07:12pm
Yep Oso!

Stuntchik
May 19 : 07:11pm
I can't really talk about the movie due to a confidentiality contract I signed but, the movie will be out next summer. It's also with Susan Sarandon, Dan Aykroyd and Kathy Bates.

Oso
May 19 : 07:07pm
She's a trained monkey wrestler. Pro circuit.

Stuntchik
May 19 : 07:07pm
I'm working on a movie called "Tammy" stunt doubling for actress Melissa McCarthy.

Rain
May 19 : 07:02pm
stunkchick what are you doing that you are getting bruised up?

Stuntchik
May 19 : 06:56pm
Bookie....No, still in NC. Working hard, very busy, very bruised and having fun! Haven't had a day off since I've been here. I'm less than 5 min. a beautiful beach (so they tell me) and I haven't even seen it yet.

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***SCM ALERT***
May 19 : 06:50pm

TYPE: VEHICLE OVER THE SIDE
AREA: CEDAR GLEN
UNITS: R91 ME92 ME91 ME94 MA50 BC133
298XX HOOK CREEK RD - CED X ELM LN POPLAR LN SINGLE VEH OVER THE SIDE THEN HIT A TREE,CHP ER,CED, ,EXTERNAL

Bookworm
May 19 : 06:08pm
Are you back home?

Stuntchik
May 19 : 05:57pm
Hi all!


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